Glossary

Below are some of the key terms used in Epidemiology and in this manual:

Asymptomatic
Birth Rate
Contact Rate
Death Rate
Density Dependent
Disease Death Rate
Duration of Infection
Immunity Loss
Immunization Rate
Isolation Response
Latent
Natural (or Background) Death Rate
Probability of Transmission
Recovery Rate
Symptomatic

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Asymptomatic: Individuals who have been infected but who do not yet show any signs of the disease.

Birth rate: The number of births per individual in the population during a specified time interval.

Contact Rate: The average number of contacts that an individual makes during a given time period, per 1000 individuals in the population. Note that these are contacts that allow transmission of a particular disease. Hence for an airborne disease, the contact rate would be much higher than for a sexually-transmitted or blood-borne disease. [Also note that in the model used in JAVA Epidemiology 1.0, the contact rate is density-dependent.]

Death Rate: The fraction of the population that dies during a specified time interval.

Density dependent: A factor that changes values depending on the density of the host population. In Epidemiology, the user may set the contact rate (average number of contacts per individual per time interval) to be density-dependent or density-independent.

Disease Death Rate: The fraction of the population that dies during a specified time due to the disease.

Duration of infection -- This is the average number of time units that an individual remains infected before moving into the recovered category (provided, of course, that he/she doesn't die!).

Immunity Loss: A measure of the rate at which individuals who have recovered from the disease or who have been immunized lose their immunity and become susceptible to infection again. In age-structured models, this rate can depend on age.

Immunization rate -- This is the proportion of newborns that are vaccinated. Right now, the program makes the unrealistic assumption that vaccinated individuals remain immune for life. To start out, set this to 0.

Isolation Response: A measure of how the proportion of individuals in the population that show symptoms of a disease influences the contact rate (average number of contacts per individual per time interval). A positive isolation response means that the contact rate decreases as the percentage symptomatic increases. The higher the isolation response, the more rapid the decrease.

Latent: Individuals are in a latent state when they have been infected, but are not yet showing symptoms, and are not yet infectious.

Natural (or Background) Death Rate: The fraction of the population that dies during a specified time interval due to causes other than the disease.

Probability of transmission: The probability that a susceptible individual will become infected in a particular contact with an infectious individual. This value must be between zero and one.

Recovery Rate: The rate at which infected individuals recover from the infection and become immune. In age-structured models, this rate can depend on age.

Symptomatic: Infected individuals who show signs of having the disease.

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