Jeremy Piger

Assistant Professor of Economics

Department of Economics

1285 University of Oregon

Eugene, OR 97403

Phone: (541) 346-6075

Fax: (541) 346-1243

Email: jpiger@uoregon.edu

New Items

• May 12, 2008: A revision to “Bayesian Model Selection for Structural Break Models.”
• May 9, 2008: A revision to “Measuring the Information Content in the Language of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach.”
• May 7, 2008: A revision to “A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation.”
• May 1, 2008: United States recession probabilities through February 2008.
• April 22, 2008: Oregon and Washington State recession probabilities through March 2008.
• April 22, 2008: A revision to “Beyond the Numbers: Managers’ Use of Optimistic and Pessimistic Tone in Earnings Press Releases.”

Research

• C.V.
• Working Papers
• Published Papers

Monthly Real-Time Recession Probabilities

• United States (Last Updated: May 1, 2008)
• Oregon (Last Updated: April 22, 2008)
• Washington State (Last Updated: April 22, 2008)

Teaching

• EC 202 (Principles of Macroeconomics)
• EC 313 (Intermediate Macroeconomics)
• EC 420 (Introduction to Econometrics)
• EC 607 (Time Series Econometrics)

Commentary

• Commentary published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis