I. Introduction
A. Read final exam
B. Select examples based on the type of problem and then write about the
problem, the efforts to solve that problem, and the effects and effectiveness
of those efforts at solution. It will NOT be as good to pick an organization
or an institution to evaluate, since it will be less clear what the problem
is. Thus, instead of picking Amnesty International as your human rights
example, pick "torture and political prisoners" and start by
describing that problem, then describing various efforts to resolve it
(including treaties, Amnesty International, and others as well), and then
discuss how effective those efforts have been, using both counterfactual and
goal achievement as your standards.
II. Effects and effectiveness (see graphs at end of lecture)
A. Counterfactuals
FOR SLIDES FROM THIS LECTURE, CLICK HERE
1. How do you know if agreement had an effect?
2. Members vs. non-members
3. Before vs. after
4. Member behavior in unregulated activities
B. Other drivers of behavior and outcomes: Alternative explanations about
drivers other than agreement of thing being effected. For example, if looking
at effect of agreement on levels of trade, need to think about other factors
that influence trade levels that might have changed over same period of time
C. Reasons for compliance and noncompliance
1. Inherent elements of agreement
a) Independent self-interest narrowly defined
b) Independent self-interest broadly defined
c) Interdependent self-interest
2. Manipulated elements of agreements
a) Coercion
b) Positive incentives
c) Information
D. Sources of noncompliance (of which violation is a subset)
1. Interests and intention, i.e., violation
2. Incapacity (want to comply but can’t)
3. Inadvertence (try to comply but fail)
E. Considering the "difficulty of the problem" when comparing
effects
1. Consider differences in underlying problem structure as possible
major source of difference - are some problems (e.g., coordination) easier
to solve than others? If so, should we consider a big change in behavior
in response to a coordination agreement as a "bigger" effect or
smaller effect than a smaller change in a harder area to regulate like
upstream/downstream problem. In short, think about difficulties of
problems before considering effects of solutions
F. Reactions to noncompliance and processes by which agreements might have
made a difference
1. Coercion
a) Explicit delineation of coercion is rare in agreements and actual
use is even rarer
b) Economic and, less often, military sanctions often discussed and
can be effective
c) Even if would be effective if applied, often there are strong
incentives not to apply
d) NGOs and MNCs and even individuals as consumers may apply even
when states don’t
e) States sometimes have incentives to respond (trade and arms
control cases) but other times don’t (human rights or environment
issues)
2. Managing capacity problems
a) Financial aid and technical assistance can help if incapacity is a
problem, deterrence and coercion unlikely to work effectively
b) Giving extended timelines to compliance can help
3. Positive incentives
a) Assistance induces more information in system than coercion –
and information in itself may be valuable – may want to know what’s
going on even if can’t really effect it
b) Assistance runs risk of moral hazard problems
4. Use of information
a) Just publicizing noncompliance can work – see performance
reviews above. "Mobilizing latent enforcers and rewarders"
process.
b) How much shaming works depends on state involved and context of
issue
c) NGOs often use shaming far more than states do – single issue
nature of NGOs means they have to make fewer tradeoffs and so are more
likely to sanction in general
5. Norms and their influence - slow but perhaps deep change over time
a) Creation of norms as in Human Rights cases
b) Normative aspects of other arenas - as an alternative explanation
- non-use of nuclear weapons
c) Reference to pre-existing norms, as in Transparency International
case
G. Distinguishing compliance from effectiveness – get overall agreement
to work and goals to be achieved rather than getting compliance, per se,
necessarily. Keep focus on forests of effectiveness (are we achieving goals)
rather than trees of compliance (are actors obeying the rules)
H. Alternatives to intergovernmental agreements
1. Industry self-regulation can be forerunner of intergovernmental
action
2. Coordination of NGOs and corporations
a) Transparency International working with corporations on bribery
codes of conduct
b) NGOs working with corporations for human rights and labor rights
c) NGOs working with corporations for environmental regulation
3. Selective self-regulation – get those who are willing to move
first and others may follow
a) "Islands of integrity" with respect to bribery
b) Green nations move first
4. Regulation by information
a) Transparency International actions
b) Human rights NGOs
c) Basically simply revealing information can work sometimes
5. Direct action partnerships and networks
a) Multiple actors coordinating in pursuit of their interests
b) Debt for nature swaps among banks, governments, and NGOs
c) NGOs working with corporations to provide drugs in various
countries