Heuristic
-shortcut
rule of thumb
strategy that relies on part of information rather than processing all of it.
strategy that works in a particular context
Representative heuristic:
tendency to base judgments on assumption that "like goes with like."
Langer & Abelson (1974)
Showed psychoanalysts a film of a student being interviewed.
½ told student had asked for psychotherapy
½ told student was being interviewed as part of a research project
DV: Is the student neurotic?
Therapy student seen as more neurotic than research student by analysts.
baserate neglect: ignoring information about the probability of something across ALL circumstances (baserate) in favor of information specific to a particular set of circumstances.
Fiedler, 1988:
Frequency version of Linda problem-
There are 100 people who fit the description above. How may of them are:
a. bank tellers?
b. bank tellers and feminists?
% showing conjunction fallacy: drops to 22%
(compared to 80-90% in original)
availability heuristic:
tendency to base judgments on ease with which relevant information comes to mind.
Availability heuristic is as biased as our memory ...
1) info never got in there:
2) info less elaborated upon
Limitations of explanation effect?
- hard to explain, envision
- under denial
3) info not recently encountered
Hot hand effect?
Making a basket doesn’t differentially predict that next shot will be a basket
(perception of hot hand may result from our belief that random patterns should look more "random.")